Stanley Cup Bound: Sidney Crosby, Difference Maker

by Will Fairbanks

The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 13 of their last 14 games and are in a position to make a huge Stanley Cup push.  The return of Sidney Crosby couldn't come at a better time as they look to make that final run.  In the 5 games since his return, Crosby has posted 9 points.  The Penguins started their run long before Crosby was set to return, but the addition of Crosby has added an entirely new dimension to the Pens game plan.

For those who don't know, Crosby has been out for majority of the season after suffering a season ending concussion during the 2010-2011 season.  Crosby missed 41 of the teams remaining games since he experienced concussion-like symptoms after two hits in January of 2011.  It also happened that Evgeni Malkin also went down with injuries the same season, leaving the Pens without their two leading scorers.  The Penguins ended up getting ousted by the Tampa Bay Lightning during the 2011 playoffs in 7 games, thus ending their season.  This is true testament to how well the team is built when the two leading scorers go down and they still hold their own against a team who ended up going to the Eastern Conference Finals.  Solid defensive play and superb goaltending can go a long way in hockey and definitely adds to the mantra that defense can win championships.

Crosby tried to return back in December, registering 12 points in 8 games, before experiencing the same issues that originally sidelined him.  It was believed to be a concussion but new reports came out specifying a soft-tissue complication in his neck.  Crosby missed more time and delayed his return until about a week ago.   On March 5, Sid the Kid was cleared for contact and has never looked back.  March 15 marked Crosby's return to game , on a night where he registered 2 assists and went +3 against the New York Rangers.

However, the Penguins need Malkin and Crosby to be effective in order to win in the playoffs.  It seems that the Pens have gotten it together this year without Crosby, although lately his presence has been truly welcomed.  Pittsburgh has put together a total team effort this year on the offensive end while providing the same consistent approach on the blue line.  The Pens have seen several players reach career highs in scoring including the likes of Chris Kunitz, James Neal, and Jordan Staal.  Evgeni Malkin is having an MVP season, scoring 95 points, tops in the NHL.  He is currently second in goals scored with 45, second only to Steven Stamkos with 50.  Malkin could easily catch Stamkos in the goal chase, now that Crosby has returned.  Malkin can play less of a distributor and more of a scorer as Crosby looks to set up more than shoot.

As Pittsburgh continues their red-hot play, it is important to notice some correlation between Crosby's play and their success. Granted, there is a limited sample size, but there is a relationship there.  Pittsburgh has been playing team hockey over the course of the season without him, but now that he's back, they will look to generate offense through him.  In the last 4 wins, Crosby's plus/minus numbers were more on the positive side and were higher than in the game Pittsburgh lost with him.  For instance, in wins against the Rangers, Devils, Jets, and Predators, Crosby's plus/minus numbers were +3, +2, +4, and +1 respectively.  In a loss to the Senators, Crosby's plus/minus stood at -1.  Even going back to November and December of 2011, Crosby's plus/minus numbers reflect the impact that he or his line has on the Penguins' success.

Sidney Crosby needs to continue his hot play in order for Pittsburgh to continue their run into the playoffs.  The more he looks to set his teammates up, the more likely they continue to win.  The Penguins' offense is playing at its fullest potential right now with Malkin leading in points, Neal having two back to back 4 point games,  and Crosby scoring 9 points in 5 games.  Couple this with an experienced blue line and a proven goaltender in Marc Andre' Fleury and you have a Stanley Cup favorite.  As of right now, the Pens are one point away from catching up with New York for the top seed in the Eastern Conference.  With Crosby and the rest of the Penguins playing at their highest level going into the final games of the season, the Penguins are definitely my pick for the Cup.

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The AL Central

Continuing with the early analysis on Major League Baseball's 2012 season, we take a look at the AL Central. There has been a lot of movement during the offseason in free agency, but it seems that one team has risen above the rest in this division.  Another team is building through youth and is looking to become relevant, not only in the division, but in the rest of the league as well.  The team in the Windy City has lost a lot over the span of the offseason, but will look to rebound with a new approach.  The Central division will be powerful in a couple years, but until then, one team is running the show.

1. Detroit Tigers -

The Tigers made quite a splash this offseason landing possibly the second most coveted free agent on the market.  Prince Fielder came with a hefty tag, a 9 year deal worth $214 million.  The Tigers felt that this move was necessary due the loss of Victor Martinez, their prized catcher/designated hitter.  The Tigers signed Fielder with hopes that he would play first and Miguel Cabrera would transition to play third.  Questions linger as to whether or not Cabrera can make this move, but he has already played this position before.  He primarily played third base when he was called up with the Marlins in 2003, so Detroit should not worry too much.  The more relevant question with the acquisition of Fielder will be whether or not his power is affected by the move to Detroit.  His power was aided by the hitter-friendly confines of Miller Park in Milwaulkee.  Many say that he will be a glorified ground-ball hitter, but others suggest that he shouldn't have an issue with Comerica Park.

This team is World Series capable even while losing Martinez.  The Tigers can get to the postseason on their pitching alone.  Justin Verlander started 34 games winning 24 of them, an astounding feat by any means.  He posted a 2.40 ERA with 250 strikeouts.  Needless to say, he ended up dominating the Cy Young race.  He should be able to replicate those numbers this season, and possibly win even more games with the offense that is behind him.  Max Scherzer had a career high in wins going 15-9, but won primarily because of run support.  Brad Penny and Rick Porcello more than held their own in the rotation combining for 25 wins.  Doug Fister came via trade from the Mariners and provided excellent pitching going 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA.
The bullpen will be looking for another excellent year led by electric closer Jose Valverde.  Valverde converted 49 saves out of 49 opportunities with a 2.24 ERA, a highly dominant mark.  Setting him up was Joaquin Benoit who pitched in 66 games posting a 2.95 ERA.  This duo looks really, really good.  The rest of the bullpen should be able to hold their own, especially with the rotation handing them easier games.

Keys to Success - Look for Prince Fielder to get his power going.  If he can't get it over the wall, the Tigers will have to alter their approach at the plate.  He was catered to in Milwaukee given Miller Park, so it will be interesting to see how he responds at Comerica.  With the loss of Martinez, Detroit will be much more reliant on Fielder and Miguel Cabrera.

Reason to Panic - The main reason to panic would be if Verlander or Cabrera go down with injury.  Without these two key guys, the Tigers could struggle as they rely heavily on these guys.  The Tigers have already lost Victor Martinez for the season; another injury could be devastating.

All-Stars - Justin Verlander, Miguel Cabrera, Jose Valverde



2. Minnesota Twins -

Out of any team in the division, the Twins have the most question marks.  They have plenty of people on their roster that would indicate that they can compete however many of them have not lived up to expectations or have been out with injury.  Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau have been absent for majority of the last two years and have not been able to give Minnesota the offense it so desperately needed.  The addition of Josh Willingham should more than satisfy the void left by Micheal Cuddyer leaving for Colorado, having posted 26 HR's with 98 RBI's with Oakland last season.  The addition of Ryan Doumit provides depth at the catcher and designated hitter positions.

One can go far as saying that the Twins rotation is the best aspect of the team.  Led by Francisco Liriano and Scott Baker, the rotation can hold its own.  However, the rotation has not reached its full potential.  Baker was highly touted as one of Minnesota's best prospects but has yet to put it all together.  Adding Jason Marquis provides a consistent, veteran arm.  Joel Zumaya was added during the offseason but recently went down with another arm injury, adding to his already present arm troubles.  With the departure of Joe Nathan from the closer position, look for Matt Capps to lead the way.  A stud closer previously with Pittsburgh has now settled in with Minnesota.  With a few runs behind them, this staff has the potential to win games, something that has been missing with Mauer and Morneau out.

The Twins are poised for a playoff run this year but the question marks could come back to haunt them.  Minnesota was picked to finish second for this reason.  The second Wild Card is going to come out of the West, forcing Minnesota to miss the playoffs.  Minnesota can be a contender in the years to come as long as the young players come to life and provide what they have been missing the last few years.

Keys to Success - The offense will be there with Mauer, Morneau, and Willingham leading the way, but it will be up to the pitching staff to keep other offenses at bay.  It is still a young staff but they came highly regarded.  They need to come together soon before Minnesota decides to dump them for other pitchers.  The time is running out for this staff, forcing the issue this year or next.

Reason to Panic - The same pitching staff will be the reason to panic.  As stated before, the runs will be there (pending injury), but it will be up to the pitching staff to get them to the promised land.  Scott Baker will be looked at most to lead the way as he comes in as the number 1 starter.  Look for the Twins to do remarkably well this year considering the departures of a few key players, including Joe Nathan.

All-Stars - Joe Mauer, Francisco Liriano



3. Cleveland Indians -

The Indians are a budding young team that was almost able to put it together last year, but started falling off towards the end of the season.  The Indians have since acquired Ubaldo Jimenez who has stated that he is looking to return to "ace" status.  Jimenez coupled with the rest of Cleveland's young rotation should be able to blossom this year and begin to take shape as one of the best staffs in baseball.  Josh Tomlin and Justin Masterson have been stellar in their role with the rotation and are looking to do the same this season.  The Indians have added the veteran leadership of Derek Lowe to the staff, one that has been missing since Cliff Lee left.

The Cleveland lineup is the most intriguing aspect of the squad.  They have the ability to be a dangerous team.  If Grady Sizemore can stay healthy, Indians become a top 10 offensive team in the AL.  Shin Soo Choo, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Carlos Santana are all coming into their own and look to carry this budding young team into the postseason.  Travis Hafner is looking to return to his 40+ home run swing but injuries have hampered the guy since then.  If then Indians do not find power in their lineup, it will be hard to challenge anyone in any division.  They have added a few pieces here and there including Casey Kotchman, who brings a magnificent glove and a recently above average bat.  Felix Pie, from Baltimore, and Aaron Cunningham, from San Diego, both could be instrumental for depth on the bench.

The Indians are close; REAL close.  However, Cleveland does not have all the pieces together to make a run in the Central.  They won't finish last, but they will surely not finish first for a while, unless disaster strikes Detroit.  Cleveland has their young guys stepping up and and could be poised at a playoff run, however, they lack key pieces in their lineup.

Keys to Success - Cleveland's power numbers need to increase in order to complement the rotation with run support.  Singles hitters can only get a team so far.  Carlos Santana and Travis Hafner need to lead the way in this department or Cleveland will find itself at the bottom of the barrel again.

Reason to Panic - The bullpen looks a little shaky on paper.  A few additions were made to help strengthen the unit, but it could still lead to Cleveland's demise.  Look for the Indians to be a little rocky in the beginning of the season, but come together late for a push towards the playoffs.

All-Stars - Carlos Santana, Asdrubal Cabrera


4. Kansas City Royals -

The Royals have some of the leagues most highly touted prospects who are looking to make the Opening Day roster.  Eric Hosmer was considered by some to be the best first-base prospect with any team and was actually rumored to be in trade talks with several teams over the winter months.  Hosmer brings in a high average, run producing bat and a consistent glove at first.  He will surely look to make an impact for the Royals.  Mike Moustakas comes in as another valued prospect at third base.  He played 89 games last year and definitely had some ups and downs.  He posted a .263 average with subpar power and only 30 RBI's.  He is surely better than those numbers suggest.  With Jeff Francouer and Billy Butler leading the way, the Royals can be one of the surprise teams to come out of the American League.

The rotation could use some work.  Picking up Jonathan Sanchez will surely help but the rest of the crew is too inconsistent to get anywhere.  There are no guarantees with this rotation when the best guy coming into this year is Bruce Chen.  He had a career year last year going 12-8 with a 3.77 ERA.  Decent but not spectacular numbers by any means.  The Royals can use some help here, but you never know, they could also surprise people.  The bullpen is a bright spot for Kansas City.  Adding Jonathan Broxton, the Dodgers' previous closer, will give Joakim Soria protection going into the 9th as Broxton will serve as his setup man.  Broxton can be lights out and coupled with Soria, the Royals have quite a combination to close out games.  In the case that either goes down with injury, as they both have done before, both are capable of closing duties.  Look for this bullpen to make a splash this season. UPDATE: Joakim Soria is exploring the possibilities of Tommy John surgery and if procedure is done, Soria could miss much of the 2012 season.

The future is bright for the Royals, who seem to be building their team in similar fashion to the 2007-2008 Tampa Bay Rays.  Adding key veterans, loading up in the draft and plugging in superb prospects along the way.  Kansas City fans will have a lot to root for, however, the present still appears to have a bleak outlook.

Keys to Success - The offense will be able to put up runs and the bullpen will be able to close out games. This we know.  However, if either of these two dimensions falter, the club will struggle.  It is up to the youthful core of the Royals to put runs on the board.

Reason to Panic - The pitching rotation does not have a solid number 1 starter.  The closest they get is Bruce Chen who is not a desirable Opening Day starter by any means.  Some of these young guys could surprise this year now that they could have some run support, but the Royals will rely heavily on this rotation to hand leads to the bullpen.

All-Stars - Joakim Soria, Billy Butler


5. Chicago White Sox -

Chicago has lost two key pieces to their team over the winter months, none more important than skipper Ozzie Guillen (Miami Marlins).  The second key piece actually followed Ozzie to the Marlins.  Mark Buehrle was consistent but posted marginal numbers during his stay in Chicago.  He never really had a consistent offense backing him up and is not a power, strikeout pitcher.  He was never able to dominate batters the way "aces" should.  Chicago really isn't losing much by him leaving.  They worked hard to retain Jon Danks and he should be Chicago's Opening Day starter.  Following him is Gavin Floyd, who is set to breakout, and Jake Peavy, who is looking for his first full season in a number of years.  Philip Humber came on strong last year and is looking to replicate that season.  The rotation, if healthy, could actually surprise and become one of the league's best.  A lot is dependent on Jake Peavy and whether he can return to 2007 form.

The lineup lacks consistency and could spell trouble.  Based on the numbers Adam Dunn posted last year, Chicago fans really don't know what to expect out of Dunn.  While never really hitting for average, Dunn posts higher power and strikeout numbers.  He was in a funk that he was never really able to get out of, and ultimately led to one of the ultimate busts in MLB free agency history.  Paul Konerko was resigned and he has been nothing but consistent and is the polar opposite of Dunn.  Fans know exactly what to expect out of Konerko:  an above .270 average, roughly 25 homers, and around 90-100 RBI's every season.  He had one of his better seasons last year.  With another season like this, Konerko can lead the offense into the playoffs with some support from role players Gordon Beckham, AJ Pierzynski, and Alexei Ramirez.

The White Sox are probably the most difficult team to figure out in the division.  They've lost their emotional leader in Guillen, their most consistent starter in Buehrle, and have issues with the offense going into the season.  The bullpen could also spell trouble for the Sox as none of these pitchers have really shown their worth, with the exception of Matt Thornton.  The White Sox could be in a mess of trouble this season if the offense can't get it going to match what the rotation is capable of doing.

Keys to Success - The rotation is probably going to be holding this team above water this season.  Led by Danks and possibly the resurrection of Peavy, the rotation could be tough to handle.  This group, in its fullest potential, could all win over 10 games.  It is possible for the White Sox to make a play at the division, but could easily crumble to fall into last place.

Reason to Panic - As just mentioned, a collapse is highly likely given a new manager, inconsistent offense and an unproven bullpen.  The team is relatively young outside of Konerko and Dunn, and this could ultimately lead to the White Sox having their worst year in ages.  A team that won a Series in 2005 could likely find itself at the bottom of the barrel for years to come.

All-Stars - Paul Konerko, Alexei Ramirez

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The Mike Wallace Factor

The Mike Wallace Factor: What losing him would mean to the Steelers

By Jordan Wagner

Despite his number of receiving yards decreasing slightly from the previous season, wide receiver Mike Wallace has shown again how valuable of an offensive threat he is for the Steelers offense. Wallace increased his number of season receptions for 2011 from 60 in the previous season to 72, it addition to posting up 1,193 receiving yards and ranking 11^th among top receivers in the NFL for that category. Joined by speedy companions Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Saunders, the Steelers offense contains some of the fastest receivers in the NFL. Pittsburgh has always been known as a ground and pound team, though. So what would losing Mike Wallace do to the offense for the 2012 season?

The answer to this question we could start by looking at quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben threw for the highest amount of yards in his career during the 2009 season; coincidentally, the same season the Mike Wallace joined the Steelers. He also doubled his number of 40+ yard passes from 7 the previous year to 14. Wallace’s speed makes him valuable from short slant routes (which the Steelers have implemented a lot more during this past season), where he can make defenders miss with his elusiveness, to long throws downfield where “it’s hard to overthrow him.” He’s been said to fly downfield as well as anyone in the NFL, and this does more than just give Ben a target far away. It spreads the field for the Steelers offense. While safeties must commit to him or be burned by his speed, other receivers such as Brown and Sanders can find more space than would have otherwise existed.

In terms of the run game, the Steelers did not crack a top ten spot in total rushing yards this season, ranking at number 14 behind the Buffalo Bills. Rashard Mendenhall’s total rushing yards dipped from the thousands the previous season down into triple digits. A lot of salvation for the Steelers offense came not from its running game, but its passing attack. The Steelers rushing game accounted for 13 of the 36 total of touchdowns by the Steelers for the 2011 season, while the passing game supplied 21 touchdowns (there was also a return and defensive touchdown to total the 36.)

However, it can certainly be argued that losing Wallace would not be entirely devastating to the Steelers offense and the team as a whole. One idea is that Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders would be easy replacements into his role as a field stretcher. Emmanuel and Antonio are both lightning fast players who can stretch the field. Not paying Mike Wallace would also free up cap space to help the team in another position - possibly by allowing the Steelers to upgrade the offensive line and provide more protection for Ben Roethlisberger.

Not to mention, Art Rooney II has said that he would like to go back to the ground and pound game for the next upcoming season. This blue-collar style of football is what the Steelers have become known for over their existence, using their running game to eat up clock and then letting their strong defense close out the games. Should the Steelers choose to focus more on their running game for the next season, it appears obvious that the total number of pass attempts will drop, and the need for downfield passes will not be as great (although it should still exist to add balance to their offense.) The Steelers will use the first rounds, hopefully, to draft a cornerback or linebacker for more depth on defense, especially with James Farrior now gone, or perhaps new offensive linemen. A wide receiver, at least a notable one, isn’t something the Steelers are looking at for in the first rounds.

So what would losing Wallace mean for the team’s ultimate goal? It’s hard to say at this point whether losing the leading receiver in touchdowns from this past season will mean severe trouble for the Steelers in terms of being able to make a playoff berth. Obviously, Steelers fans would like if he could stay. He is a star receiver that is young, fast, and still has a ton of potential to develop his game. What will become interesting is if the Cincinnati Bengals are able to snatch him. With other receiver A.J Green, they might be able to pester the Steelers for their usual playoff spot in the AFC North. The Ravens, much to my dismay, proved this season that they were the best in the division. Having to battle with them and a Bengals team who has acquired a Steelers star player could prove problematic for Pittsburgh. There is also the possibility of Denver trying to acquire Wallace with Manning now a Bronco. However, it is the Steelers defense, arguably, that makes the team a contender for a playoff spot every year, and so perhaps a shifted focus back to blue collar football and a draft that picks up players to replace some of the oldest defensive players in the league will prove to be the more important factor for the Steelers this coming season, should Mike Wallace leave.

Sources: NFL.com, Nick Onderick, Matt Auster.

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The NL East

Continuing with our early analysis of Major League Baseball's 2012 season, we will take a look at the newly rejuvenated National League East.  Of baseball's six divisions, the NL East has recently become baseball's most storied division with Philadelphia's success, Atlanta's uprising, Miami's offseason, Washington's youth, and New York's struggles.  We will take a look at how each of these teams will look in the upcoming season.


1. Philadelphia Phillies - 


The Phillies will finish first in the division, yet again.  They went after a few key guys in the offseason while losing a few as well.  Leaving the Phils was Brad Lidge (who hasn't done much in the last year and a half), Ryan Madson, and Raul Ibanez.  They brought in Jonathan Papelbon, Ty Wigginton, and Jim Thome.  There is definitely more leaving than there is coming in.  Ibanez gave them 20+ HR and 80+ RBI on average his three years in Philadelphia.  He went for 34 HR and 93 RBI back in 2009.  The biggest addition, however, came late last season when the team obtained Hunter Pence from the Astros through trade.  During the offseason, Pence and the Phillies avoided arbitration and worked out a deal to stay.  In his 54 games with the squad, he batted .324 with 11 HR, 35 RBI, quite some production.  


Chase Utley is looking to return from injury after a less than stellar 2011 season.  He missed quite some time due to a concussion amongst other injuries.  His production has declined each of the last two seasons as he has dealt with injury.  He is looking to regain his form and once again pair with Ryan Howard in the middle of  the lineup.  


The pitching rotation did lose Roy Oswalt to free agency, but Joe Blanton and Vance Worley are more than capable of providing consistent quality starts.  Worley would have won Rookie of the Year honors if it were not for Braves' closer, Craig Kimbrel, getting the nod instead.  Worley posted ridiculous numbers his first year in the bigs, helped in large by the offense, but is capable of doing it again.  Cliff Lee was strong last year and is looking to return to the same as he joins Roy Halladay and Cole Hamels to round out the staff, arguably one of the best in baseball, if not the best (see Tampa Bay Rays).


Keys to Success - Chase Utley needs to be able to stay healthy to lead the way.  The rest of the offense is potent enough to carry the team, but with Utley's leadership, the offense can be taken to another level.  With the offense scoring runs, the rotation should have plenty of support to win games.


Reason to Panic - The Phillies addressed their need for a closer in Papelbon, but did not do much else to provide bullpen depth.  It still remains a mystery how well this unit will do, but Philadelphia is lucky to have such a strong rotation that can go the distance if necessary.

All Stars - Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels


2. Atlanta Braves -


The Braves will finish 2nd in the division but they will make a huge late season push for the division title.  The Braves were not an active player in free agency this offseason, only picking up Adam Russell, former Tampa Bay Rays reliever.  He will be thrown into a pen that already has proven to be consistent enough to win games.  The bullpen will be anchored by NL Rookie of the Year, Craig Kimbrel.  He had a dazzling rookie campaign compiling over 40 saves with a 2.10 ERA.  The bullpen should be able to hold its own when games are turned over to them. 


Atlanta's starting rotation is phenomenal.  Led by veteran Tim Hudson, the rotation should be what holds this team together.  The team did lose Derek Lowe to free agency, but the Braves have the youth to step in and fill that void.  Each starter is fully capable of winning 15 games this season.  Very unlikely, but it can be done, each guy has the stuff to do so.  Brandon Beachy is due to break out this year, Tommy Hansen has apparently altered his delivery to prevent injury, and Jair Jurrjens is looking to repeat his success from last season.  However, all four of these guys went down with some sort of injury last year.  If this rotation can stay healthy, Philadelphia better watch out.


The lineup is as potent as ever, pending injury.  Chipper Jones can still supply a prominent bat when he's healthy.  He has been dealing with knee surgeries the past two years, but claims he is not done playing.  Jason Heyward, Atlanta's budding young star, was fighting shoulder issues for most of last season.  If these two guys can return to form, the lineup with Dan Uggla, Martin Prado, and Brian McCann, will be a force to be reckoned with.


Keys to Success - Pitching will be the key this year.  As long as the starters can stay healthy, Atlanta should have no issues at all keeping up with Philadelphia.  The offense is potent enough to provide solid run support, no issues there.  Once the game is handed to their closer, Kimbrel, it is lights out, game over.  If they can get to situations where they can hand the ball to Kimbrel to preserve leads, Atlanta will win a lot of games.


Reason to Panic - Injuries have plagued the Braves for the last few seasons.  It will play a major part again this season as Chipper and Heyward are both working their way back from their injuries.  If players start going down in similar fashion to last year and the year prior, Atlanta will have a tough time getting anywhere in this division. 


All-Stars - Craig Kimbrel, Brandon Beachy, Jason Heyward


3. Miami Marlins -


So, who didn't the Marlins sign this offseason? All jokes aside, Miami has made a huge push to bring in revenue for all the money they've spent.  Whether it was spent on a brand new stadium, a new manager, or several premium players, the Marlins spent a lot of money to attract attention to South Beach for something other than basketball and football.  A lot of attention has been put on the Miami Heat and Dolphins, but the Marlins are now relevant in Miami.  


Ozzie Guillen was brought in to manage the club.  With him he brings a wealth of experience getting to the postseason and even winning.  This alone should show the direction this team is heading.  The signing of Jose Reyes brings the offense and defense to an entirely new level.  They are bringing in contact and speed on the basepaths, as well as defensive flash.  It was noted that Reyes has lost some of his range, but he should look rejuvenated enough to give Miami a consistent glove on the infield.  The Marlins also have Hanley Ramirez, Mike Stanton, and Logan Morrison to provide some pop to the middle of their lineup, however, it will be interesting to see how the new park affects that power.


The Marlins have also brought in three key pitchers in Mark Buehrle, Carlos Zambrano, and monster closer Heath Bell.  This significantly improves their team pitching.  Coupled with Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez, Zambrano and Buehrle could provide the depth in the rotation that they have been missing.  Bell gives them the backend bullpen strength that could prove to have more of an impact on their season.  


Keys to Success - Their lineup.  You can put Hanley Ramirez in the number 3 spot when you have a guy like Jose Reyes batting leadoff, and good things are bound to happen.  However, the key is power.  Can the Marlins put up good power numbers in their new park? Its been said that the new park favors pitchers.  There is enough speed here for sure, but it will be up to the power guys to drive them in.


Reason to Panic - Ego.  The Marlins' demise could be all the personalities that they have in the clubhouse.  For starters, Ozzie Guillen, has a personality all his own. Hanley Ramirez has already played diva, hinting that he would not want to move to third base.  Carlos Zambrano has had a myriad of character issues in his time with the Chicago Cubs.  


All-Stars - Hanley Ramirez, Heath Bell, Mike Stanton


4. Washington Nationals - 

The Nationals will continue their youth movement as they get stud pitcher, Stephen Strasburg, back from surgery.  We will see how effective he can be coming back after almost missing the entire 2011 season.  The Nationals added Gio Gonzalez from Oakland, but besides that have really done nothing else to bolster their rotation or bullpen.  The bullpen will still have Tyler Clippard who for the last two seasons has been an excellent setup man.  Last season, he posted a sub-2 ERA in just over 88 innings pitched, a superb season by any means.  If the Nationals can continue to build around these young arms, they will be relevant in the NL East for years to come.


Speaking of youth, the Nationals have perhaps the best prospect in all the land in Bryce Harper.  There have been personality and character issues, but if Washington can allow him to mature (he's only 19), they shouldn't have any issues down the road.  He has a potent bat, one that has been crushing home runs at the major league level since he was in his early teens.  It has been up the air as to whether he will get called up this season to join the Nationals' lineup, but if he does it will make their lineup that much stronger.  The lineup already includes guys like Jayson Werth, Ryan Zimmerman, and Adam Laroche.  Each of these guys have been struggling as of late, but they are looking to turn their fortunes around.  


Keys to Success - The Nationals' offense must get it going, and get it going early in games.  The rotation and the bullpen will struggle, but if they score enough runs to outweigh the difficulties that their pitching will have, they should be fine.  It is up to guys like Werth and Zimmerman to get the offense going and play the veteran role that Washington needs.


Reason to Panic - The only real reason to panic would be if these young guys that Washington has invested so much in, end up failing their projections.  Strasburg and Harper have been two of the most exciting prospects in the last 5 years, and the sky is the limit for these two.  However, if injuries persist for Strasburg and Harper just completely tanks, the Nationals will have a reason to panic, but more for the long term future.


All-Stars - Stephen Strasburg, Ryan Zimmerman


5. New York Mets - 


The Mets finish last in their division due to their massive budget overhaul, opposite of their New York counterparts.  They have cut costs all across the board, losing Angel Pagan and Jose Reyes, two key players in their offense.  They did bring in several players, but none that will help them in this division.  Jon Rauch might ultimately be the most significant acquisition for the Mets in the offseason, and he may not even be a difference maker.  The Mets are getting Johan Santana back from injuries and surgeries, David Wright is looking for a rebound year, and Ike Davis is looking to blossom into what he is supposed to be.  


Buster Olney, ESPN's senior baseball analyst, tweeted not too long ago that the Mets payroll stood at about $87.5 million with Jason Bay, Johan Santana, and David Wright making up $57.5 million, or about 65% of the payroll.  How are the Mets supposed to go after other guys in free agency when you have 3 guys making up most of their payroll?  They've invested too much for players that haven't lived up to their contracts.   Santana hasn't pitched a game in over a year.  Wright missed 60 games last season.  Jason Bay hasn't been the same since he left Boston two seasons ago.  The Mets simply could not afford to go after anyone significant in the offseason and could end up paying the price for it (aka $57.5 million for three potential injury-laden seasons).


Keys to Success - Specifically, it comes down to those 3 players carrying this team.  The Mets have an average bullpen, a somewhat maybe above-average rotation with Santana, and what could be a potent lineup with Wright and Bay in the middle of it.  These 3 guys produce, they could play a part in the division.


Reason to Panic - The fact that those 3 players tie up so much payroll ultimate cost the Mets a chance at getting anyone that would increase the likelihood of winning this season.  If those guys go down, the season goes down.  It will be interesting to see which direction the Mets go this year.  


All-Stars - David Wright, Ike Davis

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The AL East

With pitchers and catchers reporting the weekend of February 17th, one can only be excited for what is to come in the upcoming baseball season.  In celebration of the countdown to Spring Training, I will be breaking down each of Major League Baseball's divisions.  With all the crazy offseason moves that teams have made, divisions will be shaken up to the point that baseball's powers will shift.  I will give insight as to where each team will finish in their respected divisions as well as the keys to their success and what could cause their demise. I will also provide potential All Stars for each team.  First off, I will discuss perhaps baseball's toughest division: the American League East.  

1. New York Yankees - 

The Yankees will finish first in the division largely in part of their payroll, as always.  They can consistently field a team full of star power as well as players who consistently contribute.  The Yankees will get it done this year because of the latest offseason moves that they have pulled off.  Switching Jesus Montero, a stud catching prospect, for Michael Pineda from the Mariners, will prove to be baseball's most worthy investment.  The Hiroki Kuroda pickup is definitely solid, but nothing will outdo the move for Pineda.  He's a quality young pitcher that uses his height and arm angles to his advantage to dominate batters.  Sure, you can say what about Pujols and Fielder?   They will produce for their teams, absolutely, but there will not be a move that would prove to fill such a void in the Yankees roster.  Last year, New York lacked quality depth in their pitching rotation.  Outside of C.C. Sabathia and Ivan Nova, the Yankees' did not have a consistent third, fourth, or fifth quality starter.  With Pineda and Kuroda moving in, the last spot will be a battle between Phil Hughes, Freddy Garcia, and A.J. Burnett, not a bad competition to have by any means, given the past success these guys have had and are looking to get back to.  

Key to Success - Pitching rotation depth coupled with a high octane batting order will lead to plenty of wins.  Guys like Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, and Derek Jeter will lead the offense to top numbers that New York has been familiar with in the past.  Using the short porch in right field, the Yankees will continue to hit for power and drive runs in.

Reason to Panic - Issues are present in the bullpen.  Outside of Nate Robertson and Mariano Rivera, New York did not have solid bullpen pitching last year.  Questions still remain about Rafael Soriano's health, Joba Chamberlain has vanished, and whoever loses out on the fifth spot in the rotation has not be proven to be effective with a role in the bullpen.


All Stars - Mark Teixeira, Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, C.C. Sabathia

2. Tampa Bay Rays -

The Rays will take (as of now) "the" Wild Card spot in the American League.  They will be building off the momentum created last year with the epic run to the playoffs with Boston's collapse.  Tampa addressed a few holes in their team this year as well but definitely flew more under the radar than the Angels, Tigers, and the Yankees.  They added the likes of Carlos Pena, rejoining the team after a year with the Cubs,  Luke Scott from the Orioles after a few down years up north, and Fernando Rodney who has had it rough in the past few years.  The Rays got each of these guys at a discount if they end up producing to their potential.  Both Pena and Scott are high power, low to mid average, high OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) kind of guys.  Rodney could be valuable if he can learn to control his velocity and get the ball down in the zone.  Also joining the Rays and competing to make the roster is Jeff Keppinger.  He could prove to be a worthy pickup with consistent play.  

We are all still waiting on B.J. Upton to finally show up while Longoria continues to carry this team offensively.   Also, the Rays have the best rotation in baseball, bar none.  A staff that has Shields, Price, Hellickson, Davis and Niemann is bound to do great things.  If they unload any of these guys, the staff will be fine as Tampa has ample talent waiting to fill the void with Matt Moore and Alex Cobb.  

Key to Success - Maddon-ball: playing defense while working to get on base.  Seems like it doesn' t matter who Maddon has in the lineup; the Rays get on base, score runs, and pitch their way to wins.  With the best staff in baseball along with the additions on offense, the Rays come close to the Division title.

Reason to Panic - Tampa has built a pretty solid team by the bay but the bullpen could ultimately lead to their demise.  Many of these guys are still young and will face bumps in the road, but its how they respond that will be the difference.  Guys like Kyle Farnsworth and Joel Peralta will provide the experience needed down the stretch and will help to build confidence for Jake McGee, Cesar Ramos, and new pitcher Burke Badenhop.

All Stars - Evan Longoria, James Shields, David Price

3. Boston Red Sox - 

The Red Sox will make a strong run at the Wild Card and it will come down to the last 5 or 6 games.  The last playoff spot will be decided between Texas, Boston, and Tampa Bay.  As mentioned earlier, the Rays capitalized on Boston's late season collapse last season.  Boston went into the offseason  trying to remove the cloud hanging over their heads since then.  Terry Francona and Theo Epstein are no longer with the team after Epstein took a job with the Chicago Cubs and Francona left (mutual? meh).  Boston then filled the vacancies with General Manager Ben Cherington (internal hire) and Bobby Valentine (ex-Met manager, former ESPN analyst) as skipper. The Red Sox did manage to grab Kelly Shoppach  from the Rays, Andrew Bailey from the Athletics, and Cody Ross from the Giants in a few free agency moves.  They traded shortstop Jed Lowrie for relief pitcher Mark Melancon, which should help bolster the bullpen.  The starting rotation could use work.  Led by Josh Beckett and Jon Lester, the rotation had a lackluster 2011 season.  Boston has since moved Daniel Bard from the pen and plugged him into the rotation.  This experiment could backfire as Bard has never been in such a role.  

The offense should lead the majors in pretty much every statistical category because they still have Adrian Gonzalez anchoring the middle of the lineup, David Ortiz's power, Dustin Pedroia's consistency, and Jacoby Ellsbury's versatility on the basepaths.  Carl Crawford and Kevin Youkilis are looking to have rebound years, and if they do come back, it only means trouble for the rest of the league.  The offense goes as injury goes.  

Keys to Success - Whether or not Crawford and Youkilis can come back to their old forms and produce at a consistent level.  Without them, the offense should not struggle as a collective unit, however, they would put it over the top.  The bullpen could also be a strength of the Red Sox with the acquisitions of Melancon and Bailey coupled with Alfredo Aceves, but will miss the strength of Bard and the closing of Jonathan Papelbon (left for free agency).

Reason to Panic - If Boston were to struggle, it would be because of the starting rotation, which they also struggled with in 2011.  John Lackey and Tim Wakefield led the way in poor starts last year, so if they continue to struggle, Boston will have issues.  If the rotation can keep it together, Boston will be a strong force to be reckoned with in the entire league, let alone the AL East.  It will ultimately hold them back though.

All Stars - Adrian Gonzalez, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Jon Lester

4. Toronto Blue Jays - 


Yet again, the Blue Jays will finish fourth.  Yet again, the Blue Jays go into the offseason with the attitude that next year is the year.  Yet again, the Blue Jays really have nothing else going for them except for Jose' Bautista.  They do have a hot young prospect at third base, Brett Lawrie, who has seen limited plate appearances (injury) and excelled.  However, his long term success will be determined this year when he has a full season under his belt.  Toronto did pick up Francisco Cordero, Sergio Santos, and Darren Oliver to strengthen the bullpen but have not done much to add to their rotation and their lineup.  The rotation has shown flashes of brilliance with Ricky Romero and Brandon Morrow but anything beyond these two guys was obsolete.  With Bautista anchoring the lineup, the Jays failed to give him better protection than Adam Lind and Colby Rasmus.  Lawrie could make a difference if he produces like he did when he was called up last season (.293, 9 HR, 25 RBI in 161 PA).  They were said to be interested in Prince Fielder but did not make any moves to add him.  The Jays will finish fourth in the division largely in part of their lack of execution in the offseason.  


Keys to Success - The offense.  Plain and simple: the offense.  If this offense can get a lead for this young rotation, the bullpen should be able to maintain.  The offense needs to be able to string together at-bats in order to drive people in and not rely on Bautista's power to bail them out.  If the Blue Jays can manage to be potent enough in scoring runs, they will be largely successful in this division.


Reason to Panic - Toronto will struggle with their rotation just as they have in years past.  The rotation is made up younger guys who show flashes of excellence but haven't really put it all together yet.  The Jays could really implode if the rotation shows its youth.  

All Stars - Jose Bautista, Francisco Cordero




5. Baltimore Orioles - 


Even with Buck Showalter leading the show in Baltimore, the O's don't get anywhere in the division, yet again.  They are still waiting for Matt Weiters to break out, Brian Roberts to return to form, and Adam Jones to get his power stroke.  As with the Jays, many of the Orioles show flashes of brilliance only to fade into the (lack of) depth of Camden Yards.  The Orioles just shipped off Jeremie Guthrie who proved to be the most experienced starting pitcher on the team, a move that has Baltimore up in arms.  A man who lost over fifteen games last year and had only five/six wins is considered a fan favorite?  Just goes to show you where Baltimore is at right now with their squad.  They are waiting for their young arms to blossom and when they do, Baltimore can at least play spoiler.  Until then, Baltimore has a lot of needs to address and their farm system isn't getting it done and neither is the front office.  You cannot field a team of washed up veterans (Vladimir Guerrero, left for free agency) with guys fresh out of Triple-A and expect to win, regardless of the skipper.  They won't get far this year, or next, and probably the next until upper brass decides to spend a little money.


Keys to Success - The outbreak of Adam Jones and Matt Wieters.  If these two guys can jumpstart the offense and show what they are capable of, Baltimore will finally have somewhat of an edge when it comes to opposing pitchers.  Jones should finally prove that he is a five tool outfielder and provide some excitement in Baltimore.


Reason to Panic - Pitching.  This team's lack of quality pitching is evident across the board.  It has been a problem of the past and will continue to be one until the farm system develops quality (cough) or the front office goes after some guys via free agency/trades.  


All Stars - Adam Jones

Drew Brees Broke The Record! Kinda....

by Will Fairbanks




     The game has changed.  The players have changed.  Lastly, the rules have changed.  Drew Brees recently broke Dan Marino's 1984 passing record of 5,084 yards with his own 5,476 yards passing.  However, how much weight is actually attached to breaking the record?  Some might say a lot, but I say very little.  It is a rare accomplishment to surpass a record that has stood for 27 years, but with the way that the National Football League is shaping up, Brees could break his own record next year.  Hell, Tebow could even do it in two or three years (based on his performance against Pittsburgh) but that won't happen.  Marino set the record in a completely different era of football than Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Brees.

      First off, the professional game has changed completely.  The way that offenses are now centered around the quarterback and his decision making is vastly different than before.  Back in the 1970's and 1980's, teams were more centered around balanced and even more run-heavy offenses.  Marino set the record in a time where the focus was not on the quarterback, making it more noteworthy that he could accomplish such a feat.  Defenses were tougher, faster, and stronger than most offenses.  Since then, offenses have grown to be quicker, more agile, and the systems more complex.  Brady, Manning, and Brees all play in some of the most complex offensive systems in the game.  The way that these offenses are structured, quarterbacks don't really need a spectacular running back or wide receiver.  The offense simply needs players to fulfill  certain roles because it is the quarterback who controls the flow of the game, not the running back (Chris Johnson & the Titans) or the wide receiver (Andre Johnson & the Texans).  Teams draft or sign players to fulfill a necessity to the system.  There isn't really a standout in any of these offenses.  There isn't that one player (besides the QB) that is the star.  For example, Rob Gronkowski and Wes Welker are products of their offensive system in New England.  If it wasn't for the structure of the offense and Tom Brady, these players would not exist on their own.  Welker never had notoriety in Miami; he gained it playing in New England's system.  Another example, the Saints lost Reggie Bush to free agency but quickly filled the void by adding the same type of player in Darren Sproles.


     Speaking of players, they are now physical freaks.  Athletes are now focusing a lot more on the health and nutrition of their bodies.  It is easy for these guys to run out on the field everyday and run with everyone else.  When you look back to about 20 or so years ago, athletes were fit but they weren't so much focused on working out, busting out bench reps, and drinking nutritional shakes.  With the money market of the game constantly growing, teams have had more money to invest in nutritional programs and training facilities.  The availability of trainers has increased as well.  Society has placed a growing emphasis on nutrition and athletes are more conscientious about what they eat.  20 years ago, this was not the case.  New research and development in the health field have affected how these athletes prepare their bodies.  They are taking supplements that did not exist in the past.  Bill Romanowski was famous for how many supplements he would take daily to cater his body.  He might have taken the wrong ones if you know what I'm sayin'.


     The most important factor in my argument has to be that the rules in football have changed. Rules changed to disallow defenses from playing tough on wideouts.  The five yard essentially "bump-and-run" rule was created in 1978 and later in 1994.  Offensive lineman were also allowed to put their hands up to block incoming defensive lineman.  "The net result of the rule changes was that teams suddenly began passing the ball far more often and far more effectively. Passing attempts, passing yards and passing TDs skyrocketed in the early 1980s. Perhaps most notably, Dan Marino rewrote the record books with his 5,084 passing yards and 48 TDs in 1984.  His numbers were Ruthian in their scope, literally unimaginable just seven years earlier: Back in 1977, Buffalo quarterback Joe Ferguson led the NFL with 2,803 passing yards while another Miami Hall of Famer, Bob Griese, topped the league with 22 TD tosses."   This goes to show that Marino's record was nothing significant either.  His numbers were a result of softer coverages and less physical play by defenses.

      Also, in 2004, pass interference rules were strictly enforced after Bill Polian, the Colts GM at the time, complained about New England's rough play against them in the playoffs that year.  After this, numbers again skyrocketed.  "The very next season, Indy quarterback Peyton Manning went out and rewrote the record books, with 49 TD passes and a 121.1 passer rating that was nearly 10 points better than any that had come before it. The league-wide passer rating, meanwhile, jumped from 78.3 in 2003 to a record 82.8 in 2004."

     Since 2007, offenses have been catered to.  Rule changes have disallowed defensive players from lunging at quarterbacks legs to tackle them.  Carson Palmer tore ligaments in his knee one year, and Tom Brady fell victim to the same injury the next year.  Such injuries prompted this rule.  More recently, roughing the passer calls have been on the rise.  Defenses only have a few ways to get to the quarterback now.  Mentally, it makes defenses hesitate before taking them down.  I understand that the league has to what it can to protect the quarterback, but that is why passing numbers have gone up and the number of sacks have gone down over the years.  A pressing issue relevant within the past two seasons is the "Defenseless player rule."  Defenses have been required to alter the way they hit and tackle "defenseless" players going out for a catch or after throwing a pass.  Due to this, receivers have broken more tackles, taken less hits, and have had more yardage receiving.  Defenses have gotten penalized for targeting defenseless players and leading with the crown of their helmet.  Because of this, mentalities have changed on defense and offenses have taken advantage of it.  However, this "defenseless player" rule is another topic within itself.


    I understand that Drew Brees broke the record for most passing yards in a single season, but I disagree that it is any sort of major accomplishment.  We have been seeing record setting numbers from all kinds of players on offense over the span of the last 10 years.   Dan Marino's record was set during a time where offenses were just starting to adjust to tough, physical defenses.  I will even go and say that Marino's record doesn't carry any significance because of the rule changes defenses endured in those days.  Brees broke the record and that is that, but you have to understand that the game is changing and people are breaking records with ease because of the dynamics of the game, the athletes are a lot different, and rule changes have greatly impacted the way the defense can play against the opposing offense.   The game is changing in many ways and records are going to be broken.  Congratulations Drew Brees, but your record is going to get broken next year and probably the following year.